Posts Tagged ‘complexity’

Western Washington Sees Pattern of Severe Flooding

Chahalis, Washington flooding 2009_aboyandhisbike

Climate change, developers, and logging are blamed

Since the winter of 2006, when a state of emergency was declared for 18 counties in the state, Western Washington has experienced increasingly dramatic annual flooding episodes creating a state of emergency in growing numbers of counties each year.

For the past three years here, the number of roads, farms, buildings, and houses damaged or destroyed increased—helped along by the landslides that usually follow in the wake of such flooding. Although with this year the number of landslides has been somewhat constrained, the total area of flooding has increased from the previous two years (several sections of Interstate 5 remained shut down as of Saturday night, Jan. 10), and tens of thousands of people have had to be evacuated over the past 10 days. The governor declared a state of emergency in late December, which has only abated in the past couple of days.

It would seem that a “trifecta” of reinforcing factors is to blame: climate change (an extra heavy dose of snow, followed by several days of heavy rains), upland forest clear-cutting (leaving less vegetation to soak up water and hold the soil in place), and over-development in flood plane areas (leaving too many people’s houses too low in the face of rising rivers) …all of which set the stage for the current state of emergency. The damage is still being tallied, and although the heavy rains have largely abated, repairs to roads and highways will take months if not a full year (and with state budgets so tight) or more.

Complex Systems Theory and Climate Change: Huh?

Mayors climate protection center logoClimate change is the popular environmental problem of today’s generation. In the 70s it was concern over pesticides (thanks to Rachel Carson), in the 80s sustainable development entered our lexicon, and today it is climate change. The biggest problem is that for the first time, the generational environmental problem is one that is global in nature. Climate change affects GLOBAL average temperatures, not local plant and animal life, nor local and regional communities. That climate change is global in nature means that while the causes of climate change are local in nature (leaving the car running while you run into the store to buy a quart of milk), the effects of climate change are either much more global (potentially the melting of the ice caps and rising sea levels) or tend to affect people in far parts of the world (new weather patterns leading to failing crops and/or changing growth patterns).

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